Match Info

National League South - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	4.15
	1.77	3.54	4.68
	1.93	2.72	5.25	Watch
	1.84	3.34	4.22
	1.8	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	4.44 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
50.8%

Draw
28.3%

Bath City
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Hornchurch - Bath City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Ash B. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Hearn H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Ruff C. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Jenkins-Davies W. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 2, McQueen D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 18).

Recent performances by Hornchurch have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bath is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hornchurch is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
04.10.25	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hornchurch - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Slough Town - Hornchurch	2:5 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Peterborough Sports - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Ebbsfleet United - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLT
- Bath City
English National League South
04.10.25	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Wimborne Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Chesham United - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Bath City - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.02.25	Bath City - Hornchurch	0:2
19.10.24	Hornchurch - Bath City	0:0
09.03.13	Hornchurch - Bath City	2:1
27.10.12	Bath City - Hornchurch	3:1

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