Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL NSW - Round 11

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	St George Saints		Hills United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.3
	1.85	4	3.3
	1.91	4.24	3.34
	1.89	4.24	3.34
	1.87	4.09	3.32	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.2)	4.04 ↑ (3.75)	3.32 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St George Saints
49.3%

Draw
22.9%

Hills United
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St George Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St George Saints's performance.

Hills United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hills United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St George Saints that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hills United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St George Saints - Hills United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Skataric N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', Petkovski D. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
13.04.24	St George Saints - Wollongong Wolves	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	North West Sydney Spirit - St George Saints	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	St George Saints - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	St George Saints - Sydney United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TWLTL
- Hills United
Australian NPL NSW
13.04.24	North West Sydney Spirit - Hills United	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sutherland Sharks - Hills United	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hills United - Manly United	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Hills United - Rockdale Ilinden	0:3 ✺
15.03.24	Wollongong Wolves - Hills United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

St George Saints - Hills United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide