Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL NSW - ROUND 8

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Hills United		Manly United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.3
	2.65	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.55	2.29
	2.74	3.55	2.22
	2.78	3.71	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.2)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	2.27 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills United
33.6%

Draw
25.8%

Manly United
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

25.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hills United's form might have worsened.

Manly United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manly United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hills United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly United than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manly United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Hills United - Manly United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hills United will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Manly United will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hills United: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Frangie A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 0, Lopez T. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Cardozo R. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Hills Brumbies could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills United
Australian NPL NSW
23.03.24	Hills United - Rockdale Ilinden	0:3 ✺
15.03.24	Wollongong Wolves - Hills United	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sydney United - Hills United	3:0 ✺
06.03.24	Hills United - Sydney FC Youth	4:2 ✺
02.03.24	Central Coast Mariners Youth - Hills United	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL
- Manly United
Australian NPL NSW
22.03.24	Manly United - Sydney Olympic	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Central Coast Mariners Youth - Manly United	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Manly United - Rockdale Ilinden	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Manly United - Blacktown City	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Manly United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTTL

Hills United - Manly United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide