Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Worcester City		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.55	3.3
	1.93	3.74	3.31
	1.82	3.96	3.62	Watch
	1.94	3.55	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.7 ↓ (3.96)	3.38 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
48.2%

Draw
24.7%

Leiston
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Worcester City - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rangel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Lockett L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Worcester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Sudbury Town - Worcester City	0:6 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Alvechurch - Worcester City	1:0 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Worcester City - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Worcester City - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Stratford Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
01.11.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sudbury Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Leiston - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leiston - Barwell	2:2 ✺
14.10.25	Royston Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTW

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