Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Richmond Park (Dublin)

Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	St Patricks Athletic		Mura

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.95	3.2	2.35
	2.9	3.2	2.35
	3	2.85	2.45
	3.03	3.15	2.44
	3.14	3.26	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.32)	3.11 ↑ (3.09)	2.35 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Patricks Athletic
30.9%

Draw
29.7%

Mura
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Patricks Athletic's form might have worsened.

Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	46.2%	23.1%

St Patricks Athletic - Mura Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Mura will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently St Patrick's have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division
15.07.22	St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	3:0 ✺
27.06.22	St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
24.06.22	Finn Harps - St Patricks Athletic	2:2 ✺
17.06.22	St Patricks Athletic - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLTW
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.07.22	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.07.22	Mura - Sfîntul Gheorghe Suruceni	2:1 ✺
07.07.22	Sfîntul Gheorghe Suruceni - Mura	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.22	Mura - Vojvodina	1:1 ✺
24.06.22	Mura - Sturm Graz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTL

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