Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Kybunpark (St. Gallen)

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	St. Gallen		Nordsjælland

	1	X	2
	2	4.2	2.88	Watch
	2.10	3.75	2.80
	2.12	3.6	2.9
	2.18	4.05	2.86
	2.18	4.17	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.65
	2.14	4.33	2.83	Watch
	2.11	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.76)	4 ↑ (3.34)	2.83 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
43.8%

Draw
23.3%

Nordsjælland
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.

Nordsjælland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Gallen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	9.5%	19%

St. Gallen - Nordsjælland Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Nordsjælland will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 74. Ruiz J. 4. Stanic J. 36. Okoroji C. 28. Vandermersch H. 10. Daschner L. 16. Gortler L. (C) 64. Stevanovic M. 14. Balde A. 9. Hunziker A. 7. Witzig C.	13. Hansen A. (G) 2. Ankersen P. 3. Salquist T. (C) 15. Acquah S. 25. Lahteenmaki J. 18. Janssen J. 8. Rojkjaer N. 23. Norheim R. 37. Sadio L. 10. Amoako P. 14. Adel I.
Substitutes
31. Besio D. 21. Efekele M. 23. Fazliji B. 20. Frokaj L. 68. Heydari M. 3. Kleine-Bekel C. 63. Konietzke C. 47. Owusu E. 70. Scherrer N. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)	29. Berthelsen V. 6. Brink M. 22. Eriksson C. (G) 32. Gustafsen V. 47. Heyde M. 11. Lind A. 4. Markmann N. 17. Nene L. 40. Rasmussen H. 31. Sondenbroe A. (G) 42. Tuka M. 28. Walker M.
Coaches
Maassen E.	Olsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Lahteenmaki J. ⚽, Sadio L. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Gortler L. (Penalty Awarded),
22', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 2, Amoako P. ⚽, Rojkjaer N. (A),
28', 2 - 2, Balde A. ⚽, Okoroji C. (A),
39', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
43', Hunziker A. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
45+4', Adel I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Adel I. ↓, Lind A. ↑,
48', Gortler L. 🟨,
65', Lahteenmaki J. 🟨,
66', Rojkjaer N. ↓, Brink M. ↑,
66', Amoako P. ↓, Rasmussen H. ↑,
74', Ankersen P. 🟨,
74', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
77', Stanic J. 🟨,
79', Sadio L. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Rasmussen H. ⚽, Lind A. (A),
82', Ati Zigi L. 🟨,
83', Vandermersch H. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
83', Ruiz J. ↓, Kleine-Bekel C. ↑,
83', Balde A. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
86', Witzig C. ↓, Scherrer N. ↑,
90+4', Norheim R. ↓, Walker M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

St. Gallen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nordsjælland is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

St. Gallen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Gallen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Nordsjaelland: 2.24%

Last Results with these Odds

St. Gallen - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 34.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Nordsjælland - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	St. Gallen - Sheriff Tiraspol	5:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - St. Gallen	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.08.26	Vaduz - St. Gallen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWW
- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
23.08.26	SønderjyskE - Nordsjælland	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Nordsjælland - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Nordsjælland - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
06.08.26	Valur - Nordsjælland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Nordsjælland - St. Gallen	1:0

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