Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	St. Georges		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.45
	4.75	4.5	1.47
	4.7	4.3	1.47
	5	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↓ (5.95)	4.44 ↓ (4.74)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Georges
18.8%

Draw
20.3%

St. Andrews
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

19%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

16.5%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Georges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Georges than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Georges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Andrews could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

St. George's has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches St. Andrews is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Andrews could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Andrews is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches St. George's won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Georges FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.01.21	Qormi - St. Georges	1:1 ✺
07.01.21	St. Georges - Pietà Hotspurs	0:4 ✺
20.12.20	Naxxar Lions - St. Georges	5:1 ✺
12.12.20	St. Georges - Pembroke Athleta	0:1 ✺
09.12.20	St. Georges - Vittoriosa Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
31.01.21	Vittoriosa Stars - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	St. Andrews - Qrendi	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Fgura United - St. Andrews	4:3 ✺
09.01.21	St. Andrews - Mqabba	4:0 ✺
06.01.21	St. Andrews - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
17.01.20	St. Andrews - St. Georges	6:1

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