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Current Win Probability
St. Pölten 42.4%
Draw 26.5%
Amstetten 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
25.1%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
25.9%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pölten's form might have worsened.
Amstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amstetten's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pölten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amstetten than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amstetten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
St. Pölten - Amstetten Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St. Pölten will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Amstetten will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knett C. (G) 18. Altersberger T. 5. Buchegger L. 15. Skogen S. 23. Carlson D. (C) 7. Amoah W. 10. Stendera M. 34. Krasniqi L. 70. Djuricin M. 43. Celic N. 97. Perovic F.
13. Neudhart S. (G) 2. Kochl F. 4. Wimhofer L. 15. Offenthaler P. (C) 19. Pertlwieser N. 8. Eisschill Y. 18. Wimmer S. 14. Conateh A. 48. Gragger M. 10. Steiger J. 9. Peham D.
Substitutes
33. Ferstl V. 9. Gschweidl B. 20. Halmich J. 11. Hausjell M. 32. Kurz M. (G) 22. Mane E. H. 8. Messerer C.
11. Davies G. 12. Deinhofer L. 20. Grubhofer M. 24. Lanthaler L. 16. Mayer T. 7. Oberwinkler M. 32. Scherz B. (G)
Coaches
Sekerlioglu C.
Enengl P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Stendera M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Peham D. ⚽, Conateh A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Steiger J. ↓, Mayer T. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Wimmer S. ⚽, Mayer T. (A),
68', Kochl F. 🟨,
68', Djuricin M. ↓, Ferstl V. ↑,
68', Celic N. ↓, Hausjell M. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Gragger M. ⚽,
76', Kochl F. ↓, Deinhofer L. ↑,
78', Perovic F. ↓, Mane E. H. ↑,
87', Buchegger L. 🟨,
89', Conateh A. ↓, Oberwinkler M. ↑,
90+1', Peham D. ↓, Grubhofer M. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 2.
In recent matches, St. Pölten has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Amstetten is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
St. Pölten may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, St. Pölten has had a series of away games.
St. Pölten could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 2.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pölten won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.8:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Amstetten
8
3
4
1
15:12
3
13
12
St. Polten
8
3
0
5
7:9
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
St. Pölten - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Amstetten - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Austria
Germany
Switzerland
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Knett C. (G) 
Skogen S. 
Carlson D. (C) 
Stendera M. 
Perovic F. 
Conateh A. 
Mane E. H. 
Davies G. 
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