The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPG Wels 39.4%
Draw 25.7%
ASK Voitsberg 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.3%
24.2%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
23.1%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPG Wels's performance.
ASK Voitsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASK Voitsberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPG Wels that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASK Voitsberg than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASK Voitsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SPG Wels - ASK Voitsberg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Schrocker K. (G) 14. Tischler L. 23. Haudum S. 5. Keckeisen N. (C) 13. Thurnwald M. 6. Muller P. 40. Freund N. 22. Kregar O. 20. Malinowski S. 24. Wernitznig C. 7. Svec M.
36. Dmitrovic F. (G) 44. Stevanovic A. 3. Vakouftsis N. 4. Mustafic A. 77. Brukk T. 19. Stratznig K. 6. Saurer D. 46. Polster M. 30. Goriupp D. 9. Schubert F. (C) 7. Jager P.
Substitutes
77. Barlov D. 12. Brugger M. 8. Camara K. 28. Gobara P. 11. Mankan Y. 10. Sahin T. 33. Schrenk M. (G)
27. Karic A. 39. Neubauer E. 80. Radics A. 28. Schriebl J. 1. Stopajnik T. (G) 10. Wolbl C. 23. Zivanovic L.
Coaches
Heinle C.
Zulechner P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
3', 1 - 0, Svec M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Mustafic A. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Schubert F. ⚽, Jager P. (A),
31', 1 - 3, Schubert F. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 1 - 4, Schubert F. ⚽, Polster M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Haudum S. ↓, Gobara P. ↑,
46', Wernitznig C. 🟨,
54', Jager P. ↓, Radics A. ↑,
57', 1 - 5, Goriupp D. ⚽,
63', Svec M. ↓, Barlov D. ↑,
63', Muller P. ↓, Sahin T. ↑,
63', Thurnwald M. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
73', Schubert F. ↓, Wolbl C. ↑,
73', Brukk T. ↓, Neubauer E. ↑,
77', Kregar O. 🟨,
82', Malinowski S. ↓, Mankan Y. ↑,
84', 2 - 5, Freund N. ⚽,
84', Vakouftsis N. ↓, Zivanovic L. ↑,
84', Mustafic A. ↓, Schriebl J. ↑,
85', Neubauer E. 🟨,
86', 2 - 6, Wolbl C. ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 12th).
In recent outings, SPG Wels has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Voitsberg has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, SPG Wels has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SPG Wels against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.