The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPG Wels 35.1%
Draw 26.5%
Bregenz 38.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.6%
25.9%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
25%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Bregenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bregenz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
SPG Wels - Bregenz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Schrocker K. (G) 13. Thurnwald M. 14. Tischler L. 23. Haudum S. (C) 28. Gobara P. 22. Kregar O. 9. Drammeh I. 40. Freund N. 10. Sahin T. 24. Wernitznig C. 20. Malinowski S.
31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Au Yeong D. 3. William Rodrigues (C) 6. Shima Y. 4. Kelly D. 14. Omotehara G. 8. Nussbaumer L. 20. Gabryel 24. Zaizen A. 10. Fetahu A. 7. Rossi N.
Substitutes
12. Brugger M. 8. Camara K. 5. Keckeisen N. 11. Mankan Y. 6. Muller P. 33. Schrenk M. (G) 7. Svec M.
18. Araki D. 47. Dantas L. 25. Davies G. 43. Joao Cesco 1. Joao Paulo (G) 16. Rodrigo Souza 23. Sealey L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Rossi N. ↓, Araki D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Drammeh I. 🟨,
53', Haudum S. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Kregar O. ⚽, Malinowski S. (A),
64', Wernitznig C. ↓, Mankan Y. ↑,
67', Shima Y. ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
67', Gabryel ↓, Sealey L. ↑,
76', Thurnwald M. ↓, Brugger M. ↑,
76', Freund N. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
78', Zaizen A. 🟨,
83', Muller P. 🟨,
83', William Rodrigues ↓, Joao Cesco ↑,
83', Fetahu A. ↓, Davies G. ↑,
84', Drammeh I. ↓, Svec M. ↑,
84', Gobara P. ↓, Keckeisen N. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 9th).
SPG Wels is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bregenz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Bregenz has had a run of games away from home.
Bregenz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, SPG Wels has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SPG Wels against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.