Match Info

Date: 13 September 2020, Sunday


	St. Pölten		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.2	3.45	2.12
	3.3	3.45	2.1
	3.41	3.6	2.19
	3.3	3.5	2.1
	3.32	3.68	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.66)	3.54 ↓ (3.61)	2.1 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pölten
28.4%

Draw
26.7%

Sturm Graz
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.2%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

20.4%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pölten that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	7.7%	53.8%

St. Pölten - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. St. Pölten will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Sturm will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

St. Pölten has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sturm has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches St. Pölten is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sturm in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Sturm have a series of home games.

Sturm will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches St. Pölten won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18-31.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pölten won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKN St. Pölten
Club Friendly
04.09.20	St. Pölten - Floridsdorfer AC	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
29.08.20	ATSV Wolfsberg - St. Pölten	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.20	St. Pölten - Dynamo České Budějovice	0:3 ✺
11.08.20	St. Pölten - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
05.08.20	Slavia Prague - St. Pölten	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Sturm Graz - Kapfenberger SV	6:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.08.20	Sturm Graz - SV Innsbruck	8:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.20	Sturm Graz - Lafnitz	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Sturm Graz - Opava	1:1 ✺
12.08.20	Sturm Graz - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.19	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz	0:4
28.07.19	Sturm Graz - St. Pölten	3:0
05.05.19	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz	0:1
31.03.19	Sturm Graz - St. Pölten	0:1
10.11.18	Sturm Graz - St. Pölten	0:0
12.08.18	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz	2:0
31.03.18	St. Pölten - Sturm Graz	1:5

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