Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Stabæk		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	6.5
	1.38	5.15	6.5	Watch
	1.39	5.51	7.01
	1.39	5.25	6.58	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.37	5.1	6.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	5.09 ↑ (4.99)	6.55 ↓ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
67.3%

Draw
18.4%

Raufoss
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

18.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

17.5%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Raufoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stabæk - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. 29. Ekorness K. 6. Matic A. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 10. Olderheim S. 9. Sanyang A.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 2. Sjol J. 16. Larsen M. 4. Gjelsvik S. 3. Asvestad E. (C) 6. Froysa E. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 18. Engebakken T. 27. Zekhnini R. 9. Rogulj A. 10. Aanesland M.
Substitutes
20. Boesen O. 8. Dahlby M. 16. Hoven A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 19. Lundemo M. 21. Onsrud K. 18. Oppedal O. 5. Skjelvik J. 28. Tobiassen B.	30. Dalen Korsaksel J. 22. Da Silva F. F. 15. de Ornelas de Conno D. 20. Elmi S. 25. Engebakken T. E. 8. Naustdal T. 23. Selnaes J. S. 7. Sildnes E. 12. Synstelien D. M. G. (G)
Coaches
Kjell A.	Wehrman K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Froysa E. 🟨,
6', Asvestad E. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Aanesland M. ⚽, Achinioti-Jonsson A. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Achinioti-Jonsson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hanstad J. ↓, Dahlby M. ↑,
46', Matic A. ↓, Tobiassen B. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Olderheim S. ⚽,
56', Zekhnini R. ↓, Naustdal T. ↑,
71', Wendt W. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
77', Aanesland M. ↓, de Ornelas de Conno D. ↑,
77', Rogulj A. ↓, Da Silva F. F. ↑,
84', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
86', Achinioti-Jonsson A. ↓, Elmi S. ↑,
86', Engebakken T. ↓, Selnaes J. S. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 2.

Stabæk has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Raufoss has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Raufoss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stabæk is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Stabæk will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26:61	-35	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.05.26	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Odd - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stabæk - Åsane	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.05.26	Raufoss - Lyn	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Egersund - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Odd - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Raufoss - Hødd	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Ranheim - Raufoss	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Stabæk - Raufoss	3:0
24.05.25	Raufoss - Stabæk	1:0
16.09.24	Stabæk - Raufoss	1:2
20.07.24	Raufoss - Stabæk	0:0
Club Friendly
26.01.24	Raufoss - Stabæk	2:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.09.22	Stabæk - Raufoss	2:0
22.05.22	Raufoss - Stabæk	0:4

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