Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 21

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Stabæk		Start

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.7	2.05
	2.6	3.6	2.25
	2.62	3.8	2.32
	3.32	3.65	2.13
	3.15	3.62	2.10	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	2.62	3.88	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.03)	3.68 ↓ (3.84)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
32.4%

Draw
25.3%

Start
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stabæk - Start Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Start (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Start will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Start will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Start (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Sjoeng M. (G) 4. Naess N. (C) 2. Pedersen K. 14. Nielsen M. 13. Hellan M. 18. Bawa A. 27. Danso E. 20. Andresen A. 30. Ellegaard F. 32. Cedergren A. 7. Vinge R. E.	1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 6. Norheim J. 3. Ujkani A. 2. Palerud F. 30. Gausdal L. 14. Soomets M. 10. Mvoue S. 16. Strannegard T. 20. Lorentzen H. 11. Schulze E. (C)
Substitutes
29. Ekorness K. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 41. Lokkevik K. (G) 26. Nysveen J. 17. Olderheim S. 21. Onsrud K. 22. Opseth K. 15. Veum O. 23. Wendt W.	9. Adebayo A. 19. Dashaev D. 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jebali O. 21. Sjokvist S. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G)
Coaches
Stahre M.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Ellegaard F. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Gausdal L. ⚽, Mvoue S. (A),
38', Norheim J. ↓, Griesbeck S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Bawa A. 🟨,
63', Bawa A. ↓, Onsrud K. ↑,
63', Pedersen K. ↓, Nysveen J. ↑,
69', Cedergren A. ↓, Opseth K. ↑,
69', Ellegaard F. ↓, Olderheim S. ↑,
74', Palerud F. ↓, Sjokvist S. ↑,
83', Andresen A. ↓, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↑,
86', Mvoue S. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ⚽,
90+2', Danso E. 🟥,
90+2', Ujkani A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Gamle Oslo - Stabæk	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Ranheim - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Bærum - Stabæk	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWL
- IK Start
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Start	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Start - Aalesunds	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Start	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Vigør - Start	0:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Hødd - Start	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Start - Stabæk	5:1
21.09.24	Stabæk - Start	2:3
16.06.24	Start - Stabæk	4:3
Club Friendly
01.03.24	Stabæk - Start	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.08.22	Stabæk - Start	5:0
19.06.22	Start - Stabæk	0:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.09.20	Stabæk - Start	2:0

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