Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 19

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Stabæk 2		Grei

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.95	2.88
	2	3.84	2.87
	1.95	3.9	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.81)	3.9 ↓ (3.93)	2.93 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk 2
45.6%

Draw
23.3%

Grei
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

22.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

21.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Grei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stabæk 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grei than the current prediction. (-4%)

Stabæk 2 - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Bjorkavag J. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Samrat A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
82', 0 - 3, Kirya M. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, Ferrington R. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 4, Omar D. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Recent form of Stabæk 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Grei has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stabæk 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stabæk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Stabæk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
31.08.25	Ready - Stabæk 2	6:2 ✺
24.08.25	Stabæk 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Flint - Stabæk 2	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Stabæk 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Oppsal - Stabæk 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTLW
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
30.08.25	Grei - Kvik Halden	0:7 ✺
23.08.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Grei	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Ørn-Horten - Grei	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Grei - Ready	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.06.25	Grei - Stabæk 2	2:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.09.22	Stabæk 2 - Grei	4:0
20.06.22	Grei - Stabæk 2	2:1

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