Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 27

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Vålerenga		Egersund

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7	Watch
	1.34	5.25	6.5
	1.35	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.35	5.9	7.23
	1.37	5.49	6.6	Watch
	1.3	5	7
	1.35	5.45	7.05	Watch
	1.35	5.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	5.45 ↓ (5.89)	7.05 ↓ (7.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
69.5%

Draw
17.2%

Egersund
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

15.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

15.3%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vålerenga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Vålerenga - Egersund Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 6. Hedenstad V. 8. Bjordal H. 29. Ambina F. 17. Lange C. 24. Strand P. 80. Brajanac M. 25. El Abdellaoui J.	27. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 2. Midtskogen A. 6. Salte T. 4. Falchener H. 12. Williams R. 16. Strangstad S. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 26. Salmon J. 7. Lahne J. 99. Holtan J. 9. Galta J.
Substitutes
5. Fasika I. 15. Hagen E. 19. Kamara O. 3. Kjelsen A. 14. Obasi O. 9. Rijks M. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 11. Usman T.	11. Bergersen A. 91. Davis S. 15. Elvevold H. 19. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem F. 17. Halgunset I. 23. Hoiseth M. 14. Staalesen J. 1. Viken M. (G) 77. Voilas J.
Coaches
Bakke G.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Brajanac M. ⚽, Strand P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', El Abdellaoui J. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Bjordal H. ⚽, Brajanac M. (A),
72', Galta J. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
72', Williams R. ↓, Staalesen J. ↑,
78', Lange C. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
78', Brajanac M. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
78', Lahne J. ↓, Bergersen A. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽,
80', Salte T. ↓, Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem F. ↑,
82', Ambina F. ↓, Obasi O. ↑,
82', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
85', Strangstad S. 🟨,
86', 4 - 0, Rijks M. ⚽, Obasi O. (A),
87', Strand P. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
87', Sleveland C. ↓, Halgunset I. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Vålerenga is Qualified for Eliteserien

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Vålerenga is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.24	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	0:1 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.24	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	4:2 ✺
28.09.24	Kongsvinger - Vålerenga	2:2 ✺
24.09.24	Vålerenga - Aalesunds	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bryne - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTWT
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.10.24	Egersund - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
02.10.24	Lyn - Egersund	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Åsane - Egersund	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Egersund - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Egersund - Ranheim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.06.24	Egersund - Vålerenga	1:1

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