Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 12Date: 4 March 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Binga |
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Stade Malien |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.3 |
2.62 |
2.32 |
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 |
3.33 |
2.68 |
2.31 |
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3.45 |
2.68 |
2.35 |
 Watch |
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3.3 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
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3.34 |
2.92 |
2.34 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.63) |
2.68 ↓
(2.91) |
2.32 ↓
(2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Binga
27.1% | Draw
33.8% | Stade Malien
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Binga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binga's form might have worsened.Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binga than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Malien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Binga - Stade Malien Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Binga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Binga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).Including home matches between the teams, Binga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Stade Malien | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 50 |
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| 5 | Binga | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 28:15 | 13 | 43 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 09.02.25 | Binga - Stade Malien | 0:4 | | 17.04.24 | Stade Malien - Binga | 3:2 | | 17.12.22 | Binga - Stade Malien | 0:3 |
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