Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 14Date: 1 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Stade Malien |
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Real Bamako |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.32 |
2.78 |
3.1 |
 Watch |
 |
2.23 |
2.81 |
3.33 |
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2.27 |
2.87 |
3.34 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
2.63 |
3.3 |
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2.25 |
2.78 |
3.36 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.57) |
2.77 ↓
(2.98) |
3.29 ↑
(2.77) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Stade Malien
39.9% | Draw
32.6% | Real Bamako
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Bamako might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Stade Malien - Real Bamako Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 2.Stade Malien has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Real Bamako is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Real Bamako may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Real Bamako has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 0.9:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Stade Malien won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 0.9:0.4).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Stade Malien | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Real Bamako | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 32:14 | 18 | 49 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 10.12.25 | Real Bamako - Stade Malien | 1:1 | | 16.03.25 | Real Bamako - Stade Malien | 0:3 | | 30.01.25 | Stade Malien - Real Bamako | 1:1 | | 14.01.24 | Real Bamako - Stade Malien | 0:1 | | 06.07.23 | Real Bamako - Stade Malien | 2:0 | | 13.04.23 | Stade Malien - Real Bamako | 0:0 | | 20.03.22 | Stade Malien - Real Bamako | 0:1 |
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