Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Colovray Sports Centre (Nyon)


	Stade Nyonnais		Baden

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.75	4.1	Watch
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.63	4.09	4.4
	1.63	4.08	4.26
	1.6	3.9	4.4
	1.66	4.1	4.32	Watch
	1.68	3.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)	3.97 ↓ (4.34)	4.3 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Nyonnais
55.7%

Draw
23%

Baden
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

21.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Baden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Nyonnais, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baden than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Stade Nyonnais - Baden Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Baden will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Omeragic E. (G) 20. Abdallah H. 71. Sow K. 28. Sylvestre Brac J. 26. Busset R. 24. Sawadogo M. 23. Gomis C. 91. Fouley Q. 6. Petit V. 11. Pasche E. 9. Kore F.	1. Spycher T. (G) 43. Gloor F. 5. Isufi E. 28. Eraslan E. 4. Muff P. 7. Zumberi L. 10. Laski R. 26. Furrer G. 44. Hanke M. 23. Spielmann M. 11. Wiskemann M.
Substitutes
8. Camara S. 16. De P. A. 10. Dugourd D. 77. Escorza T. 22. Gazzetta L. 33. Guedes C. (G) 29. Moreira A. 19. Rodriguez M. 4. Strohbach I.	14. Brack J. 6. Cirelli S. 15. Dzonlagic O. 13. Fontana J. 29. Kujovic A. 18. Mossi A. (G) 22. Romano D. 19. Tushi T. 3. Weilenmann Y.
Coaches
Caschili C.	Winsauer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Pasche E. ⚽,
34', Sawadogo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spielmann M. ↓, Fontana J. ↑,
46', Furrer G. ↓, Romano D. ↑,
58', Eraslan E. ↓, Kujovic A. ↑,
66', Abdallah H. ↓, Gazzetta L. ↑,
71', Fouley Q. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
72', Sawadogo M. ↓, De P. A. ↑,
75', Isufi E. ↓, Tushi T. ↑,
77', Kore F. ↓, Dugourd D. ↑,
77', Pasche E. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
78', Fontana J. 🟨,
80', Escorza T. 🟨,
89', Dugourd D. 🟨,

Preview

Stade Nyonnais is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baden is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Stade Nyonnais is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stade Nyonnais won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Nyonnais won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
29.03.24	Stade Nyonnais - Sion	0:4 ✺
17.03.24	Vaduz - Stade Nyonnais	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Stade Nyonnais - Wil 1900	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWTW
- FC Baden
Swiss Challenge League
30.03.24	Baden - Wil 1900	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Aarau - Baden	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Baden - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Thun - Baden	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
24.02.24	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	2:3
06.10.23	Stade Nyonnais - Baden	1:1
23.09.23	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	2:0
Swiss Promotion League
18.02.23	Baden - Stade Nyonnais	1:3

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