Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Stafford Rangers		Workington

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.7	3.5	2.25	Watch
	2.78	3.73	2.25
	2.78	3.73	2.25
	2.6	3.6	2.15
	2.81	3.4	2.24
	2.7	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	2.23 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
33.5%

Draw
25.6%

Workington
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Cooke S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stafford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stafford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
23.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Stafford Rangers	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Stafford Rangers - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLLW
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
23.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	4:2 ✺
09.03.24	Workington - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	United of Manchester - Workington	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Workington - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Lancaster City - Workington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.08.23	Workington - Stafford Rangers	2:1
05.01.19	Stafford Rangers - Workington	1:1
18.08.18	Workington - Stafford Rangers	1:0
30.12.17	Stafford Rangers - Workington	1:2
26.08.17	Workington - Stafford Rangers	0:0
18.02.17	Stafford Rangers - Workington	3:2
22.10.16	Workington - Stafford Rangers	1:2

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