Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.05	5.9
	1.6	4	4.74
	1.44	4.67	6.15	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.6	3.96	5.21
	1.6	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4 ↓ (4.11)	5.33 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
59.7%

Draw
23%

Workington
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Ogwuru D. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Nugent K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
63', 0 - 3, ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Butroid L. ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, Mulhern E. F. ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, Mulhern E. F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 4.

Gainsborough is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Workington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gainsborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gainsborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
10.02.26	Bamber Bridge - Gainsborough Trinity	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Leek Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTW
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
07.02.26	Workington - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Prescot Cables - Workington	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Workington - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	United of Manchester - Workington	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Whitby Town - Workington	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2
15.03.25	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
09.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:0
23.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	4:2
21.10.23	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3
13.04.19	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
12.01.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	4:1

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