Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Stal Kraśnik		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.1
	1.92	3.6	3.2
	1.97	3.58	3.22	Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stal Kraśnik
46.7%

Draw
25%

Czarni Połaniec
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Kraśnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Stal Kraśnik - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stal Kraśnik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Kraśnik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stal Kraśnik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Stal Kraśnik	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Stal Kraśnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Stal Kraśnik	0:4 ✺
31.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWLWT
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:5 ✺
20.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.04.19	Stal Kraśnik - Czarni Połaniec	0:0
01.09.18	Czarni Połaniec - Stal Kraśnik	2:1

Upcoming Matches