Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Stal Rzeszów		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.25	2.35
	2.75	3.4	2.45
	3.06	3.45	2.42
	3.06	3.29	2.42
	2.75	3.3	2.25
	2.91	3.26	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.48)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	2.36 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
32.5%

Draw
28.2%

Motor Lublin
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

28.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 2. Warczak P. 26. Gora L. 14. Koscielny K. 22. Simcak M. 31. Thill S. 33. Bukowski A. 41. Lysiak K. 46. Lyczko S. 10. Adler 11. Prokic A.	1. Rosa K. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 74. Kruk K. 24. Luberecki F. 68. Wolski B. 37. Scalet M. 11. Kaminski D. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P.
Substitutes
24. Bieszczad G. (G) 7. Danielewicz K. 30. Diaz J. 21. Grosu A. 42. Kadziolka S. 45. Pasko K. 47. Salamon S. 40. Synos M. 18. Wachowiak K.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 73. Lis J. 47. Palacz K. 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 99. Spiewak K. 19. Welniak K. 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Zub M.	Feio G.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 1.

Stal Rzeszów has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Motor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stal Rzeszów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
09.03.24	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
09.03.24	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.24	Motor Lublin - Stal Rzeszów	2:0
Polish Division 1
03.09.23	Motor Lublin - Stal Rzeszów	3:2
Polish Division 2
07.05.22	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	1:1
31.10.21	Motor Lublin - Stal Rzeszów	0:2
02.05.21	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	1:3
07.11.20	Motor Lublin - Stal Rzeszów	1:0
Club Friendly
29.01.20	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	3:2

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