Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Stal Rzeszów		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.23	3.49	3.23
	2.23	3.49	3.23
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.15	3.44	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
43.1%

Draw
27.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Stal Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 2. Warczak P. 14. Koscielny K. 26. Gora L. 91. Oleksy P. 42. Kadziolka S. 7. Danielewicz K. 46. Lyczko S. 31. Thill S. 10. Adler 11. Prokic A. (C)	33. Kos M. (G) 27. Jonczy D. 2. Bykov O. 13. Dalic V. 20. Klups T. 14. Bonecki S. 28. Bebenek K. 19. Ziemann M. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 23. Matynia H. 9. Bilinski K.
Substitutes
24. Bieszczad G. (G) 28. Diaz J. 9. Klos W. 43. Lysiak K. 27. Pena C. 20. Piatek K. 19. Ponce M. 18. Wachowiak K. 23. Wrona K.	18. Guezen D. 55. Karwot M. 4. Machala M. 16. Ryndak D. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 88. Troc A. 17. Valencia J. 77. Wrzesinski K. 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Zub M.	Derbin A.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Stal Rzeszów is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stal Rzeszów have a series of guest games.

Stal Rzeszów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Rzeszów won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Cracovia - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.10.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Stal Rzeszów - Resovia Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
19.09.23	Miedź Legnica 2 - Stal Rzeszów	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWW
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Club Friendly
14.10.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
08.10.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Górnik Łęczna - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Gryf Wejherowo - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Termalica Nieciecza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.04.23	Stal Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	6:0
02.09.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Rzeszów	1:0

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