Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.38
	2.7	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.51	2.45
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.76	3.38	2.38
	2.71	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	2.4 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
33.9%

Draw
27.5%

Termalica Nieciecza
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 2. Bykov O. 27. Jonczy D. 77. Wrzesinski K. 14. Bonecki S. 55. Karwot M. 19. Ziemann M. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 9. Bilinski K.	1. Loska T. (C) 17. Zaviyskyi T. 23. Spendlhofer L. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 24. Karasek K. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 14. Polyarus A. 10. Radwanski A. 9. Branecki J.
Substitutes
28. Bebenek K. 89. Checinski B. 11. Fabry M. 18. Guezen D. 4. Machala M. 23. Matynia H. 16. Ryndak D. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 88. Troc A.	7. Fassbender M. 26. Jakubik W. 25. Morag A. 90. Nowakowski J. 88. Poznar T. 77. Putivtsev A. 70. Topor E. (G) 53. Trubeha A. 6. Wolski M.
Coaches
Derbin A.	Lewandowski M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Termalica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zagłębie Sosnowiec have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
15.09.23	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	5:2 ✺
28.08.23	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWTL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
17.09.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Stal Mielec - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
01.09.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	0:4 ✺
27.08.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.05.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0
10.10.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
27.02.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
29.08.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
29.11.19	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0
10.08.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0
Club Friendly
13.01.18	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2

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