Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.5	3.35
	2	3.5	3.1
	2.08	3.52	3.18
	2.1	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.04)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	3.22 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
44.3%

Draw
26.9%

Polonia Warsaw
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 27. Jonczy D. 2. Bykov O. 13. Dalic V. 77. Wrzesinski K. 14. Bonecki S. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 19. Ziemann M. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 9. Bilinski K.	96. Kuchta M. (G) 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. 2. Grudniewski M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 37. Zawistowski N. 77. Michalski M. 14. Okhronchuk V. 22. Biedrzycki B. 7. Kluska M. 16. Koton K. 11. Kobusinski S.
Substitutes
28. Bebenek K. 96. Calinski P. 18. Guezen D. 20. Klups T. 4. Machala M. 23. Matynia H. 16. Ryndak D. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 88. Troc A.	10. Bajdur M. 57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 21. Majsterek J. 20. Marciniec P. 18. Pawlowski D. 6. Piatek L. 9. Tomczyk P. 27. Welna T. 8. Wojciechowski O.
Coaches
Derbin A.	Smalec R.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Polonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zagłębie Sosnowiec have a series of guest games.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
02.10.23	Górnik Łęczna - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Gryf Wejherowo - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Termalica Nieciecza	1:3 ✺
15.09.23	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLWL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
29.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTLL

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