Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Matlock Town		South Shields

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.3	3.35	1.85
	2.85	3.35	2.15
	3.39	3.54	1.88
	3.4	3.6	1.85
	3.62	3.4	1.94
	3.6	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.6)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
26.8%

Draw
26.3%

South Shields
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

25.5%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matlock Town's form might have worsened.

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Shields's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matlock Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Shields, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matlock Town - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 1.

Recent matches Matlock is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

South Shields is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Matlock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Matlock Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Matlock Town - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
18.02.23	South Shields - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Matlock Town - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWTL
- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Marske United - South Shields	0:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belper Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	South Shields - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Warrington Rylands - South Shields	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.02.23	South Shields - Matlock Town	1:1
22.02.22	South Shields - Matlock Town	3:1
16.10.21	Matlock Town - South Shields	0:1
17.10.20	South Shields - Matlock Town	0:1
14.09.19	Matlock Town - South Shields	1:2
01.12.18	South Shields - Matlock Town	5:0
15.09.18	Matlock Town - South Shields	0:3

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