Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Maurice Dufrasne (Liège)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Standard Liège		Seraing

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.65	3.95	5.1
	1.58	4	5
	1.61	4.24	5.79
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.59	4.1	5.3	Watch
	1.6	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	4.04 ↓ (4.09)	5.33 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège
58.9%

Draw
23.4%

Seraing
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Seraing have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	2.2%	20%

Standard Liège - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Seraing will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 65.7% – 89.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League).

Standard has the most likely position - 9 (14.77%), has project points - 50, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (27.95%), has project points - 28, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, small importance 23, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Standard is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Seraing is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Standard is a favorite.

There will not play in Standard: Balikwisha W. (Red Card) Laifis K. (Injury) Ngoy N. (Injury)

There will not play in Seraing: D'Onofrio F. (Injury) Kilota G. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Standard to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Standard won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Standard won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.09.22	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Sint-Truidense - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Standard Liège - Oostende	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWL
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.09.22	Royal Antwerp - Seraing	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Seraing - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
06.09.22	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Seraing	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.09.22	KV Mechelen - Seraing	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Seraing - Genk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.03.22	Standard Liège - Seraing	0:1
12.09.21	Seraing - Standard Liège	0:1
Belgian Cup
03.02.21	Seraing - Standard Liège	1:4

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