Match Info

BELGIUM: BELGIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 December 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Boucaut A. (Bel)


	KV Mechelen		Seraing

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.53	4	5
	1.62	4.2	5.2
	1.51	4.1	5.2
	1.55	4.4	5.66
	1.52	3.8	5.5
	1.51	4.33	5.65	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	4.15 ↑ (3.71)	5.33 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
60.3%

Draw
22.3%

Seraing
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8%	12%

KV Mechelen - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Mechelen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seraing is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Seraing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mechelen have a series of guest games.

Recently Seraing have a series of home games.

In this match Mechelen is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Espanyol - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	NAC Breda - KV Mechelen	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.11.22	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	KV Mechelen awarded ✺
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Lokeren - KV Mechelen	0:5 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.11.22	KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TW?WT
- RFC Seraing
Club Friendly
04.12.22	Seraing - AEK Athens	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.11.22	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Seraing	5:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
08.11.22	Seraing - Charleroi	4:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.11.22	Seraing - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Seraing - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.09.22	KV Mechelen - Seraing	2:3
27.12.21	KV Mechelen - Seraing	2:0
31.07.21	Seraing - KV Mechelen	1:0
Club Friendly
25.07.20	Seraing - KV Mechelen	0:0
14.07.15	Seraing - KV Mechelen	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.11.26	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	✺
31.10.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	✺
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.10.26	Seraing - RFC Liège	✺

KV Mechelen - Seraing