Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Star Starachowice		Naprzód Jędrzejów

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.8	4.65
	1.54	4.04	4.65
	1.56	4.13	4.73	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.6
	1.54	3.95	5.02	Watch
	1.83	3.55	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	4.49 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
56.3%

Draw
23.5%

Naprzód Jędrzejów
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

24.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

24.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Star Starachowice's performance.

Naprzód Jędrzejów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naprzód Jędrzejów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Star Starachowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naprzód Jędrzejów than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naprzód Jędrzejów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Star Starachowice - Naprzód Jędrzejów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Durda K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Duda S. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Stanislawski S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Star Starachowice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Star Starachowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27:21	6	20
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Star Starachowice - Wiślanie Skawina	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLL
- Naprzód Jędrzejów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Wisła II Kraków - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Star Starachowice	0:1

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