Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		Stal Kraśnik

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.85	3.9
	1.79	3.71	3.78	Watch
	1.69	3.9	4.01	Watch
	1.78	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	3.77 ↓ (4)	3.84 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
52.3%

Draw
24.1%

Stal Kraśnik
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

22.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

21.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Stal Kraśnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Stal Kraśnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Mroz P. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stal Kraśnik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Siarka Tarnobrzeg is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:5 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWL
- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Cracovia 2	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Stal Kraśnik	awarded ✺
04.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Stal Kraśnik	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Stal Kraśnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 T?TTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.04.21	Stal Kraśnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0
26.08.20	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Stal Kraśnik	1:1
06.10.19	Stal Kraśnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0

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