Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.72
	3.86	3.74	1.7
	3.86	3.74	1.7
	3.76	4.05	1.7	Watch
	3.2	3.7	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	3.79 ↓ (3.9)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
24.5%

Draw
23.8%

Noteć Czarnków
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

23.2%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

22.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Starogard Gdański - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).

Starogard Gdański has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Noteć Czarnków is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noteć Czarnków could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Noteć Czarnków will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.10.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
06.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Starogard Gdański - Vineta Wolin	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Starogard Gdański	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.10.23	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Szczecin II	5:0 ✺
07.10.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	4:0 ✺
30.09.23	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	1:3 ✺
15.09.23	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Solec Kujawski	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

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