Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 18

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.61
	4.34	4.15	1.58
	4.34	4.01	1.58
	4.4	4.1	1.59	Watch
	4.2	4.05	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.4)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
21.2%

Draw
22.2%

Unia Swarzędz
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

23.6%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Starogard Gdański's form might have worsened.

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Swarzędz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Swarzędz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Starogard Gdański - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Starogard Gdański has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unia Swarzędz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Unia Swarzędz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.11.23	Starogard Gdański - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Starogard Gdański	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Starogard Gdański - Elana Toruń	0:4 ✺
28.10.23	Luzino - Starogard Gdański	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Noteć Czarnków	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.11.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Unia Swarzędz - Sokół Kleczew	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:4 ✺
21.10.23	Unia Swarzędz - Unia Solec Kujawski	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.08.23	Unia Swarzędz - Starogard Gdański	2:2
11.03.23	Unia Swarzędz - Starogard Gdański	1:1
13.08.22	Starogard Gdański - Unia Swarzędz	1:1
12.09.20	Starogard Gdański - Unia Swarzędz	1:3

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