Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.8	1.85
	3.7	3.6	1.82
	3.9	3.7	1.82
	4.18	3.76	1.88
	10.10	4.60	1.33	Watch
	3.71	3.82	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.96)	3.88 ↓ (3.92)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
19.9%

Draw
25%

Aalesunds
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

23.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

23.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Raufoss - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Raufoss will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aalesunds will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 15. Hay K. 4. Hansen A. 3. Bonde R. 14. Lynum J. 16. Sveen O. (C) 17. Nordbo S. 8. Nelson R. 9. Hustad E. 24. Aanesland M.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 15. Skuseth N. 5. Kjelsen A. 4. Haram S. 7. Nesso K. 21. Christensen M. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. 16. Orsahl J. 17. Myrlid E. 9. Ngongo P. (C)
Substitutes
21. Agyeman Y. 10. Badjie K. 33. Dalby M. (G) 11. Fremstad N. 28. Jensen P. (G) 18. Mensah E. 5. Rotihaug O. 27. Steinset K.	2. Andresen M. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 11. Johannsson D. 25. Kitolano J. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K.
Coaches
Dent T.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Myrlid E. ⚽, Ngongo P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lynum J. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
52', Aanesland M. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
61', Christensen M. 🟨,
65', Nordbo S. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
65', Nelson R. ↓, Fremstad N. ↑,
66', Hammer H. ↓, Seehusen J. ↑,
66', Orsahl J. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
66', Melland H. ↓, Johannsson D. ↑,
77', Myrlid E. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
85', Fors V. ↓, Rotihaug O. ↑,
87', Andresen M. 🟨,
90+1', Nelson R. 🟥,
90+6', Nesso K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Raufoss has had a series of away games.

Aalesunds might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Raufoss won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.25	Hødd - Raufoss	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Raufoss - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Åsane - Raufoss	4:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Hønefoss - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Odd - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLLW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.08.25	Aalesunds - Egersund	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Stjørdals-Blink - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Start - Aalesunds	3:1 ✺
18.08.25	Aalesunds - Ranheim	6:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Træff - Aalesunds	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1
03.08.24	Raufoss - Aalesunds	0:2
27.04.24	Aalesunds - Raufoss	1:4
28.08.21	Aalesunds - Raufoss	4:2
19.05.21	Raufoss - Aalesunds	4:2
06.10.19	Aalesunds - Raufoss	3:1
23.06.19	Raufoss - Aalesunds	2:1

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