Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 10

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Start		Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.7
	1.68	4.15	4.35	Watch
	1.7	4.34	4.55
	1.78	4	3.65	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.67	4.25	4.25	Watch
	1.68	4.15	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	4.05 ↑ (4)	4.11 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
54.2%

Draw
23%

Lyn
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Start, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Start - Lyn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Start (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Start will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Start will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Start (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 5. Jebali O. 3. Ujkani A. 2. Palerud F. 18. Ugland M. 10. Mvoue S. 11. Schulze E. (C) 16. Strannegard T. 8. Grundetjern M. 20. Lorentzen H.	1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 6. Midtskogen A. 29. Sylla M. 18. Nilsen H. 23. Laghzaoui S. 5. Bydal E. 19. Myhre T. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.
Substitutes
25. Benjamin T. 19. Dashaev D. 30. Gausdal L. 29. Gono E. 38. Jorgensen S. 22. Nilsen A. E. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 27. Sunday G.	17. Arzani D. 27. Barnett I. 16. Berntsen A. 77. Hylen B. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 28. Niang M. 2. Stalesen J. 12. Wold J. (G)
Coaches
Karadas A.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Sylla M. 🟨,
14', Lorentzen H. (Pen),
24', 0 - 1, Laghzaoui S. ⚽,
45+5', Hansen S. 🟨,
45+5', Hellum A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Ugland M. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
59', Mvoue S. 🟨,
64', Mvoue S. ↓, Dashaev D. ↑,
64', Ugland M. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
65', Hellum A. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
65', Olsen A. ↓, Ingebrigtsen M. ↑,
73', Schulze E. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
76', Sylla M. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
85', Gausdal L. 🟨,
85', Lorentzen H. ↓, Gono E. ↑,
85', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Hylen B. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Start has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyn has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Start is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Start won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.25	Moss - Start	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	Aalesunds - Start	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Start - Egersund	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Raufoss - Start	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Start - Åsane	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWTL
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.25	Lyn - Mjøndalen	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Kongsvinger - Lyn	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Lyn - Skeid	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Moss - Lyn	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Lyn - Hamarkameratene	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.03.25	Start - Lyn	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.24	Lyn - Start	2:2
09.06.24	Start - Lyn	1:4

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