Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.2
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	1.85	3.25	4.45
	1.93	3.34	4.66
	1.87	3.23	4.54	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.87	3.34	4.25	Watch
	2.08	3.14	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.06)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	4.18 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
48.8%

Draw
28.8%

Leyton Orient
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Leyton Orient (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Stevenage (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marschall F. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 17. Pattenden J. 23. Thompson L. 8. Phillips D. 14. Earley S. 18. White H. 19. Reid J. 25. Phillips M.	12. Dennis W. (G) 2. James T. 6. Forrester W. (C) 4. Simpson J. 25. Wellens C. 22. Abdulai A. 28. Clare S. 3. Morris J. 11. Mitchell D. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 16. Freestone L. 4. Houghton J. 10. Kemp D. 30. Lubala B. 11. Roberts J. 6. Sweeney D.	44. Archibald T. 15. Bakinson T. 33. Cahill K. (G) 16. Casey K. 19. Fawunmi F. 24. Levitt D. 20. Perkins S.
Coaches
Revell A.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Clare S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Reid J. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 1 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Mitchell D. (A),
45+6', Goode C. 🟨,
45+7', Earley S. ↓, Freestone L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Forrester W. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
52', Clare S. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
65', Phillips D. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
65', Pattenden J. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
66', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
74', Mitchell D. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
80', O'Neill O. 🟨,
82', White H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
86', O'Neill O. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
88', Casey K. 🟨,
90+2', Archibald T. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.

In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stevenage could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Outrights of English League One for now

Stevenage: 2.2% Leyton Orient: 1.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leyton Orient	8	3	1	4	13:11	2	10
13	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11:8	3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
07.03.26	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Stevenage Borough - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWW
- Leyton Orient
English League One
07.03.26	Bradford City - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Stockport County - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.09.25	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	2:3
27.03.25	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	1:0
English EFL Trophy
21.01.25	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	0:1
English League One
23.11.24	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	0:0
16.03.24	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	0:1
02.09.23	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	0:3
English League Two
21.01.23	Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient	3:0

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