Match Info

League One - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burton Albion		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.60
	2.85	3	2.52	Watch
	3.04	3.2	2.62
	2.63	3.16	2.72	Watch
	3	3	2.55
	2.77	3.22	2.52	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.27)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.57 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
33.4%

Draw
30%

Stevenage Borough
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.

Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 6. Sibbick T. 26. Delap F. 16. Tilt C. (C) 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 3. Armer J. 41. Krubally S. 8. Webster C. 19. Dennis M.	1. Marschall F. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 6. Freestone L. 23. Thompson L. 11. Roberts J. 8. Phillips D. 10. Kemp D. 44. Patterson P. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
14. Collar W. 27. Dudek K. (G) 52. Henry M. 28. Matthews Lewis M. 40. Scutt Z. 20. Sraha J.	12. Barden D. (G) 14. Earley S. 4. Houghton J. 9. Magennis J. 45. Malcolm J. 18. Sanderson O. 7. Taylor T.
Coaches
Bowyer G.	Revell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Patterson P. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
72', Webster C. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Armer J. ⚽, Krubally S. (A),
75', Vancooten T. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
75', Roberts J. ↓, Earley S. ↑,
84', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
84', Reid J. ↓, Sanderson O. ↑,
90', Krubally S. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Sanderson O. ⚽, Magennis J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 1.

Burton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stevenage is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Burton: Gilligan C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stevenage: Campbell C. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stevenage	8	3	3	2	12:8	4	12
10	Burton	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League Cup
08.08.26	Burton Albion - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Burton Albion - Derby County	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Solihull Moors - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Burton Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Burton Albion - Leicester City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLL
- Stevenage Borough
English League Cup
07.08.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Stevenage Borough - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Stevenage Borough - Millwall	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Stevenage Borough - West Ham United	0:5 ✺
18.07.26	FC Andorra - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.03.26	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:1
20.12.25	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	2:2
18.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	0:1
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:4
English League One
24.08.24	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	0:0
13.04.24	Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion	1:2
09.12.23	Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough	1:2

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