Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Forthbank Stadium (Stirling)


	Stirling Albion		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4.65	3.95	1.6
	4.71	4.13	1.58	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.6
	4.92	3.74	1.59
	4.75	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.25)	3.83 ↑ (3.1)	1.6 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stirling Albion
19.8%

Draw
23.7%

Stenhousemuir
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stirling Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stirling Albion's form might have worsened.

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stenhousemuir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stirling Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stenhousemuir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Stenhousemuir (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stenhousemuir will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stenhousemuir will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stenhousemuir (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Whyte O. ⚽, Buchanan G. (A),
39', 1 - 1, McLean R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, Whyte O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 5.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Stirling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stenhousemuir is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stirling won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Stirling	5	3	1	1	14:10	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stirling Albion
Scottish League Two
10.01.26	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Clyde - Stirling Albion	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Stirling Albion - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.7 WWWTW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
10.01.26	Stenhousemuir - East Fife	5:0 ✺
03.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Montrose - Stenhousemuir	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
22.07.23	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	2:1
Scottish League Two
15.04.23	Stenhousemuir - Stirling Albion	0:1
31.12.22	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	3:1
15.10.22	Stenhousemuir - Stirling Albion	1:3
13.08.22	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	3:0
05.03.22	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	0:1
02.01.22	Stenhousemuir - Stirling Albion	1:2

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