Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 18

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)

Referee: Jonsson J. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Stjarnan		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	4.20	3.50
	1.84	3.85	3.20	Watch
	1.79	4.51	3.65
	1.77	4.68	3.66	Watch
	1.74	4.55	3.70
	1.76	4.48	3.61	Watch
	1.87	4.20	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.01)	4.35 ↑ (4.21)	3.52 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
52.1%

Draw
21.4%

Keflavík
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

22.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

22.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stjarnan's performance.

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stjarnan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Stjarnan - Keflavík Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 19. Leifsson A. 3. Kjeldsen G. 32. Orvarsson O. 8. Gunnarsson J. 7. Eggertsson O. 18. Nokkvason G. 23. Waren B. 11. Ingason B. 22. Atlason E. (C)	1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. 47. Karlsson E. 22. Magnusson A. 18. Bjarnason E. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 17. Gudlaugsson B. 7. Valsson D. 21. Conteh A. 10. Ljubicic S.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson C. 66. Beic D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 29. Hauksson A. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 34. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T. 21. Turay I. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.	15. Adalbjorssnos A. 8. Baxter B. 25. Elvarsson F. 77. Haraldsson A. 12. Hermannsson H. (G) 13. Holmarsson R. 26. Kristjansson J. 14. Mudrazija M. 28. Traustason V. A.
Coaches
Hauksson J.	Gudmundsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Conteh A. 🟨,
7', Waren B. 🟨,
7', Magnusson S. 🟨,
34', Conteh A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Hauksson B. ⚽,
61', Ingason B. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
61', Gudlaugsson B. ↓, Elvarsson F. ↑,
62', Ljubicic S. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
70', Karlsson E. 🟨,
75', Magnusson S. ↓, Traustason V. A. ↑,
81', Atlason E. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
81', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Turay I. ↑,
90', Valsson D. ↓, Adalbjorssnos A. ↑,
90', Bjarnason E. ↓, Holmarsson R. ↑,
90+3', Eggertsson O. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Keflavík may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of away games.

Stjarnan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:23. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 2.7:1.2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ilves - Stjarnan	3:1 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.07.26	Akraness - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Stjarnan - Ilves	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.07.26	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.26	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	5:1 ✺
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2 ✺
13.07.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Keflavík - Fram	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
30.01.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	2:1
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Stjarnan - Keflavík	4:2
Icelandic League Cup
25.02.25	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:4
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.09.23	Stjarnan - Keflavík	3:0
11.06.23	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1
Icelandic Cup
18.05.23	Stjarnan - Keflavík	4:0

Upcoming Matches