Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport 6, SÝN Sport Ísland
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stjarnan		Víkingur Gøta

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.50	3.40	Watch
	1.70	4.20	3.75
	1.68	4.20	4.10	Watch
	1.72	4.46	3.96
	2.35	4.48	2.34	Watch
	1.63	4.40	3.75
	1.65	4.45	4.12	Watch
	1.74	4.30	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.37)	4.37 ↓ (5.11)	3.65 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
53%

Draw
21.4%

Víkingur Gøta
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

17.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stjarnan's form might have worsened.

Víkingur Gøta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Víkingur Gøta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stjarnan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Víkingur Gøta than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Víkingur Gøta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	6.2%	37.5%

Stjarnan - Víkingur Gøta Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Víkingur Gøta will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 32. Orvarsson O. 3. Kjeldsen G. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 2. Aegisson H. 7. Eggertsson O. 18. Nokkvason G. 8. Gunnarsson J. 23. Waren B. 22. Atlason E. 11. Ingason B.	1. Reynatrod B. (G) 24. Olavsson J. 18. Svensson A. 29. Arngrimsson I. 14. Jonhardsson I. 17. Benjaminsen A. 6. Brandsson A. 8. Ellingsgaard A. 7. Johansen J. 9. Nielsen J. 10. Vatnhamar S. (C)
Substitutes
83. Beic D. (G) 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 36. Bjornsson A. 37. Bjornsson B. 17. Brink H. O. 29. Hauksson A. 14. Hauksson B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 30. Martin M. A. D. 10. Matthiasson D. 4. Thorisson T.	77. Bartalsstovu K. L. 34. Djordjevic F. 27. Hansen R. 26. Jarnskor F. 19. Jarnskor J. 13. Lervig J. 12. Lidarenda D. a. 23. Thomsen N. (G) 5. Vilhelmsen J.
Coaches
Elisabetarson J.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Benjaminsen A. ⚽, Ellingsgaard A. (A),
24', Aegisson H. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
37', Johansen J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Atlason E. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Vatnhamar S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, Atlason E. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
67', Benjaminsen A. 🟨,
72', Kjeldsen G. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Atlason E. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Brandsson A. ↓, Jarnskor J. ↑,
81', Eggertsson O. ↓, Matthiasson D. ↑,
83', Johansen J. ↓, Bartalsstovu K. L. ↑,
84', Thorisson T. 🟨,
88', Benjaminsen A. ↓, Djordjevic F. ↑,
89', Kristjansson G. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
89', Waren B. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
90+1', Jarnskor J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Stjarnan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Víkingur Gøta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Víkingur Gøta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stjarnan is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.07.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	4:4 ✺
Icelandic Cup
10.06.26	Afturelding - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTL
- Víkingur Gøta
Faroe Islands Premier League
04.07.26	B36 Torshavn - Víkingur Gøta	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Víkingur Gøta - NSÍ Runavík	3:3 ✺
Faroe Islands Cup
25.06.26	Víkingur Gøta - HB Tórshavn	4:0 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
19.06.26	Víkingur Gøta - KÍ Klaksvík	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	07 Vestur - Víkingur Gøta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWTW

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