Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Hasteinsvollur (Vestmannaeyjar)

Referee: Stefansson A. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.75	2.30
	2.58	3.85	2.28	Watch
	2.59	4.07	2.34
	2.63	4.04	2.32
	2.5	3.7	2.25
	2.56	4	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.74)	3.9 ↑ (3.83)	2.3 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
36.1%

Draw
23.7%

Stjarnan
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

23.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: Stjarnan will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Petersen A. (G) 23. Kristinsson A. 2. Magnusson S. 4. Edeland M. 22. Runarsson E. 30. Valor V. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 8. Gunnarsson B. 7. Hardarson S. 27. Hlynsson R. 9. Jeffs L.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 27. Dankerlui D. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 32. Orvarsson O. 10. Matthiasson D. 7. Eggertsson O. 18. Nokkvason G. 11. Ingason B. 23. Waren B. 22. Atlason E.
Substitutes
3. Fridriksson A. 26. Fridriksson F. 14. Gunnarsson A. 28. Magnusson H. 42. Pisco 67. Sowe O. 80. Thordarson H. 10. Valgeirsson V. 1. Zapytowski M. (G)	1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 99. Bjarnason A. 36. Bjornsson A. 37. Bjornsson B. 17. Brink H. O. 29. Hauksson A. 14. Hauksson B. 3. Kjeldsen G. 4. Thorisson T.
Coaches
Linta A.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽,
12', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Hardarson S. ⚽, Hilmarsson A. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Gunnarsson B. ⚽,
35', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Linta A. 🟨,
66', Orvarsson O. 🟨,
66', Jeffs L. ↓, Sowe O. ↑,
70', Eggertsson O. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
70', Ingimarsson S. T. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
70', Dankerlui D. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
70', Waren B. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
72', Matthiasson D. 🟨,
74', Hlynsson R. ↓, Thordarson H. ↑,
74', Hardarson S. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
79', Hilmarsson A. 🟨,
80', Gunnarsson B. ↓, Pisco ↑,
80', Hilmarsson A. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
84', Hauksson A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 2.

ÍBV has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stjarnan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

ÍBV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, ÍBV won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.06.26	Thor Akureyri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:4 ✺
31.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík	6:1 ✺
21.05.26	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	KA Akureyri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.06.26	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	4:4 ✺
Icelandic Cup
10.06.26	Afturelding - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
31.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:3 ✺
26.05.26	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Stjarnan - Fram	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.07.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	1:0
28.04.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:3
Icelandic League Cup
08.02.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.23	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	0:2
13.05.23	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	4:0
Icelandic Cup
19.04.23	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.08.22	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Stjarnan	3:1

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