Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Stockport County		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.25	5.5
	1.44	4.25	5.5
	1.45	4.2	5.6
	1.47	4.46	6.81
	1.5	4	5.8
	1.49	4.55	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	4.29 ↓ (4.53)	5.86 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
62.8%

Draw
21.5%

Guiseley
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.2%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

11.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guiseley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stockport County - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stockport is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guiseley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guiseley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stockport have a series of guest games.

In this match Stockport is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stockport to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English National League
15.12.20	Notts County - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Barnet - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	Bromley - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.20	Stockport County - Yeovil Town	3:2 ET ✺
07.11.20	Rochdale - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWW
- Guiseley
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Guiseley - Chorley	2:0 ✺
English National League North
12.12.20	Guiseley - Southport	4:2 ✺
08.12.20	Chorley - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Guiseley - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
01.12.20	Spennymoor Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.09.20	Guiseley - Stockport County	1:5
20.07.19	Guiseley - Stockport County	2:2
English National League North
09.02.19	Guiseley - Stockport County	1:1
14.08.18	Stockport County - Guiseley	1:1
06.12.14	Stockport County - Guiseley	0:3
12.08.14	Guiseley - Stockport County	3:0
15.03.14	Stockport County - Guiseley	3:3

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