The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 25.3%
Draw 24.3%
Stockport County 50.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
24.9%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
24.7%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
5.9%
70.6%
Notts County - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Stockport will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 48.9% โ 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 2. Brindley R. 15. Baldwin A. 4. Cameron K. (C) 7. Crowley D. 16. Bostock J. 8. Austin S. 10. Jones J. 11. Nemane A. 17. McGoldrick D. 9. Langstaff M.
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 23. Bristow E. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 8. Camps C. 10. Sarcevic A. 11. Powell N. 9. Madden P. (C) 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
44. Colkett Ch. 25. Mahovo L. 6. O'Brien J. 14. Randall W. 20. Robertson S. 19. Scott C. 1. Slocombe S. (G)
27. Bailey O. 20. Barry L. 5. Byrne N. 18. Croasdale R. 21. Hippolyte M. 22. Richards R. 12. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Maynard S.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Madden P. ⚽, Wootton K. (A),
32', Crowley D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Madden P. (Pen),
36', Bristow E. 🟨,
40', 0 - 3, Madden P. ⚽, Sarcevic A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 4, Sarcevic A. ⚽, Pye E. (A),
56', Bostock J. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
57', Austin S. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
57', McGoldrick D. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
61', 1 - 4, Langstaff M. ⚽, Robertson S. (A),
63', 2 - 4, Crowley D. ⚽, Randall W. (A),
64', Powell N. ↓, Barry L. ↑,
65', Madden P. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
71', Langstaff M. 🟨,
76', Sarcevic A. 🟨,
84', 2 - 5, Pye E. ⚽, Barry L. (A),
85', Camps C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
90+2', Sarcevic A. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
Watch
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Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 
Cameron K. (C) 
Jones J. 
Nemane A. 
McGoldrick D. 
Bristow E. 
Lemonheigh-Evans C. 
Camps C. 
Hippolyte M. 
