Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Stockton Town		Redcar Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.75	1.90
	3.05	3.7	1.92
	2.91	4.12	1.98
	3.02	4.18	2	Watch
	2.85	4.05	1.96
	3.21	3.88	1.88
	3.1	3.85	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.37)	3.93 ↑ (3.89)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
30.1%

Draw
23.1%

Redcar Athletic
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

23.9%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

23.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Redcar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redcar Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Stockton Town - Redcar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, Round C. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Fletcher O. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Stockton Town has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Redcar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Redcar could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Redcar Athletic	12	7	4	1	23:11	12	25
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Avro - Stockton Town	5:3 ✺
25.08.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT
- Redcar Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Redcar Athletic - United of Manchester	3:2 ✺
25.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Emley	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Redcar Athletic	0:5 ✺
18.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Lancaster City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Quorn - Redcar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWWT

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