Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Guiseley		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.18	3.31	3.03
	2.19	3.45	3.09	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.13	3.25	3.09
	2.13	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
42.4%

Draw
27.7%

Stockton Town
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Guiseley - Stockton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Guiseley will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Wilson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Berchil A. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Owen E. ⚽,

Preview

Guiseley is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stockton Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Guiseley has had a series of away games.

Recently, Stockton Town has had a series of home games.

Guiseley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Guiseley - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.88%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Guiseley - Bury	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Workington - Guiseley	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Whitby Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Pontefract Collieries - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTWW
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.26	Stockton Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Stockton Town - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Stockton Town - Darlington	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.01.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1
16.09.25	Stockton Town - Guiseley	2:0
29.04.25	Stockton Town - Guiseley	1:0
21.12.24	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1
14.08.24	Stockton Town - Guiseley	3:1

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