Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday


	Stomil Olsztyn		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.4	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.49	3.15	2.84
	2.49	3.15	2.84
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.46	3.17	2.79	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
37.9%

Draw
29.4%

Polonia Bytom
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stomil will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 27. Brikner I. 77. Florek B. 3. Kuban L. 9. Kurbiel P. 23. Laskowski F. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 25. Sadowski H. 14. Szabaciuk F. 11. Wojcik F. 10. Zwir K. (C)	1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 28. Farbiszewski B. 18. Gajda T. 15. Krzemien D. 29. Piekarski A. 14. Pochciol J. 5. Romanowski P. 17. Steblecki S. 2. Szmigiel M. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
18. Bezpalec M. 74. Drabiszczak M. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 7. Krawczun H. 8. Retlewski D. 12. Szpaderski J. (G) 17. Szramowski L. 29. Tuleja R.	11. Andrzejczak K. 21. Brzozowski D. 4. Cichocki M. 33. Hajduk K. (G) 25. Konieczny D. 6. Scislak D. 16. Stefanski P. 19. Wolny D. 10. Zagiel F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Brikner I. 🟨,
61', Zielinski L. ↓, Andrzejczak K. ↑,
65', Brikner I. ↓, Szramowski L. ↑,
65', Kurbiel P. ↓, Retlewski D. ↑,
71', Krzemien D. ↓, Scislak D. ↑,
71', Steblecki S. ↓, Zagiel F. ↑,
77', Wojcik F. ↓, Karlikowski M. ↑,
80', Scislak D. 🟨,
81', Laskowski F. ↓, Krawczun H. ↑,
81', Romanowski P. ↓, Stefanski P. ↑,
90', Szabaciuk F. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Stomil is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polonia Bytom is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Stomil have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stomil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Stomil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
06.04.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Hutnik	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	KKS Kalisz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
13.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
07.04.24	Polonia Bytom - Stal Stalowa Wola	4:3 ✺
30.03.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Polonia Bytom	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Puławy	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	3:3 ✺
08.03.24	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Stomil Olsztyn	4:3
Polish Division 1
04.05.13	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Bytom	0:0

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