Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15
	2.95	3.25	2.2
	3	3.35	2.2	Watch
	3.23	3.54	2.19
	3.54	2.46	2.62	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.05	3.3	2.22
	2.66	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.59)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	2.27 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
30.3%

Draw
28.9%

Polonia Bytom
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Polonia Bytom (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Bytom will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 2. Mis K. 10. Drag M. 31. Dzieciol E. 11. Famulak M. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 56. Demianiuk C. 13. Podlinski K.	1. Holewinski A. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 77. Szymanski J. 13. Azatsky O. 10. Michalski K. 29. Terlecki K. 18. Gajda T. (C) 17. Wolkowicz K. 19. Sarmiento J. 23. Arak J. 9. Wojtyra K.
Substitutes
23. Danielewicz K. 19. Kozlowski O. 4. Misiak P. 77. Pik D. 9. Rybak A. 21. Stypulkowski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J. 95. Zielonka N.	11. Andrzejczak K. 27. Apolinarski J. 22. Calavera J. 30. Krzyzak O. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 8. Labojko M. 35. Mazur K. (G) 16. Stefanski P. 7. Zielinski L.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Wolkowicz K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Flis M. (Pen),
60', Michalski K. ↓, Andrzejczak K. ↑,
60', Sarmiento J. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
60', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
63', Szymusik G. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Szuprytowski D. ⚽, Demianiuk C. (A),
69', Wojtyra K. ↓, Labojko M. ↑,
69', Terlecki K. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
71', Gajda T. 🟨,
74', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
81', Szymanski J. 🟨,
83', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Pik D. ↑,
90+2', Andrzejczak K. 🟨,
90+4', Pik D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
08.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLTW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
09.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	7:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	5:0 ✺
26.07.25	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Bytom	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Bytom	3:3
02.09.23	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1

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