Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.42	3.4	2.55
	2.34	3.67	2.58	Watch
	2.29	3.5	2.58	Watch
	2.42	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
38.3%

Draw
26.2%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

27.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Ciach A. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Bogdanski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Świt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Świt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.25	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWTL
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
30.04.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Legia II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2

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