Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Stourbridge		Stamford

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.65
	1.81	3.92	3.74	Watch
	1.75	3.66	3.94
	1.95	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
50.5%

Draw
24.5%

Stamford
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

20.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stourbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Stourbridge - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Varela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 0 - 2, Tonge K. ⚽,
90', 0 - 3, Tonge K. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Reeves H. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 1.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

Stamford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stourbridge has had a series of away games.

In this match, Stourbridge is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stourbridge won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stourbridge won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Real Bedford - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Needham Market - Stourbridge	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Stourbridge - Leiston	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Anstey Nomads - Stourbridge	3:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.25	Barwell - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.25	Stamford - Barwell	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Stamford - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stamford	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Macclesfield Town - Stamford	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Real Bedford - Stamford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.12.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	0:2
17.08.24	Stamford - Stourbridge	1:0
03.02.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:1
23.09.23	Stamford - Stourbridge	3:0
English NPL Premier Division
04.04.16	Stourbridge - Stamford	2:0
09.01.16	Stamford - Stourbridge	2:2
24.02.15	Stourbridge - Stamford	1:1

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