Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Real Bedford		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.60	4.40
	1.41	4.50	5.30
	1.51	5.60	3.96
	1.58	5.3	4	Watch
	1.49	5.50	3.90
	1.40	5.00	5.19
	1.48	4.40	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	4.99 ↑ (4.4)	4.48 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
61.5%

Draw
18.2%

Stourbridge
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.5%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stourbridge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Bedford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stourbridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Bedford - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Pavey C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League North and 12th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Real Bedford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Real Bedford for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Bedford has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 2.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Bedford against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37:17	20	32
11	Stourbridge	13	5	4	4	15:16	-1	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.26	Bishops Stortford - Real Bedford	3:1 ✺
20.10.26	Real Bedford - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Stamford - Real Bedford	0:4 ✺
10.10.26	Real Bedford - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Chesham United - Real Bedford	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTWTL
- Stourbridge FC
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Loughborough Students - Stourbridge	0:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Bury Town - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Worcester City - Stourbridge	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Stourbridge - Leighton Town	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Stourbridge - Racing Club Warwick	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.09.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	1:4
21.02.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	2:1
21.10.25	Real Bedford - Stourbridge	3:1

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