Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 21

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday


	Stranraer		Albion Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.15	3.4	2.95
	2.09	3.45	3.1
	2.07	3.73	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.11	3.55	3.18
	2.08	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
43.8%

Draw
26.4%

Albion Rovers
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

22.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stranraer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Stranraer - Albion Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Stranraer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stranraer will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 42-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Stranraer won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
07.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
23.12.22	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	3:2 ✺
03.12.22	Stranraer - Stirling Albion	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTL
- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
07.01.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Albion Rovers	0:4 ✺
31.12.22	Albion Rovers - Dumbarton	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Annan Athletic - Albion Rovers	5:1 ✺
03.12.22	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Albion Rovers - Stirling University	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
19.11.22	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	1:0
01.10.22	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	2:1
09.04.22	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	0:5
26.02.22	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	0:0
26.12.21	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	3:2
02.10.21	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	1:0
20.04.21	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	0:2

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